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Red280
615068.2
440584.1
86299.4
Blue55
365684.5
553082.4
514479.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26826910020030040050028055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#8
99.40.0
100.4100.4
Auto10.2
Teleop50.8
End38.4
red by 14.9
84.54.4
87.483.0
Auto6.7
Teleop37.6
End40.2
Second
84.10.0
85.285.2
Auto5.1
Teleop29.9
End49.1
red by 1.7
82.44.9
85.780.7
Auto11.7
Teleop39.4
End31.3
Third
6150
#15
68.20.0
69.269.2
Auto7.1
Teleop33.4
End27.7
blue by 10.9
5144
#29
79.14.4
82.077.5
Auto5.0
Teleop36.1
End38.0