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Red285
615068.2
440584.1
86299.4
Blue235
107660.1
653885.7
522267.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2762110100300400500285235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#8
99.40.7
99.7100.4
Auto10.2
Teleop50.8
End38.4
red by 13.7
6538
#12
85.70.6
84.585.1
Auto6.8
Teleop39.9
End38.9
Second
84.10.7
84.485.1
Auto5.1
Teleop29.9
End49.1
red by 17.0
5222
#25
67.10.6
65.966.5
Auto5.1
Teleop34.6
End27.4
Third
6150
#15
68.20.7
68.569.2
Auto7.1
Teleop33.4
End27.7
red by 8.1
1076
#24
60.10.7
58.859.5
Auto8.7
Teleop30.3
End21.1