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Red255
615068.2
440584.1
86299.4
Blue310
365684.5
553082.4
514479.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268250100200300400255310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#8
99.40.1
99.399.4
Auto10.2
Teleop50.8
End38.4
red by 14.9
84.51.5
82.483.8
Auto6.7
Teleop37.6
End40.2
Second
84.10.1
84.184.1
Auto5.1
Teleop29.9
End49.1
red by 1.7
82.41.6
80.181.7
Auto11.7
Teleop39.4
End31.3
Third
6150
#15
68.20.1
68.168.2
Auto7.1
Teleop33.4
End27.7
blue by 10.9
5144
#29
79.11.5
76.978.4
Auto5.0
Teleop36.1
End38.0