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Red305
12376.7
125080.5
47098.7
Blue231
360473.8
509084.1
81584.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25324804006008001,0001,2001,400305231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
470
#15
98.71.5
93.294.6
Auto12.1
Teleop40.5
End46.0
red by 14.3
815
#29
84.30.1
82.282.1
Auto9.5
Teleop37.7
End37.2
Second
80.51.5
75.176.5
Auto5.0
Teleop37.7
End37.9
blue by 3.6
84.10.1
81.981.8
Auto4.7
Teleop37.4
End42.0
Third
123
#22
76.71.5
71.372.7
Auto7.9
Teleop34.7
End34.1
red by 2.9
73.80.1
71.671.5
Auto3.9
Teleop40.9
End29.0