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Red395
557767.3
5053107.3
148195.1
Blue265
47098.7
125080.5
12376.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832670100200400500600700395265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107.30.6
106.1106.8
Auto16.9
Teleop44.4
End45.9
red by 8.6
470
#15
98.70.2
98.598.7
Auto12.1
Teleop40.5
End46.0
Second
1481
#20
95.10.6
93.994.6
Auto13.8
Teleop49.1
End32.1
red by 14.5
80.50.2
80.380.5
Auto5.0
Teleop37.7
End37.9
Third
5577
#17
67.30.6
66.166.8
Auto7.1
Teleop30.5
End29.7
blue by 9.5
123
#22
76.70.2
76.576.7
Auto7.9
Teleop34.7
End34.1