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Red307
473773.8
503100.6
1023112.5
Blue255
549893.4
5567106.6
661871.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324281100200400500307255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#14
112.50.1
117.5117.6
Auto14.6
Teleop44.2
End53.7
red by 5.9
106.60.4
107.0106.6
Auto11.9
Teleop41.8
End52.9
Second
503
#2
100.60.1
105.6105.7
Auto9.1
Teleop43.8
End47.7
red by 7.2
5498
#16
93.40.4
93.893.4
Auto9.2
Teleop34.3
End49.9
Third
4737
#30
73.80.1
78.979.0
Auto7.6
Teleop35.1
End31.2
red by 2.3
6618
#31
71.60.4
72.071.6
Auto7.1
Teleop44.1
End20.4