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Red291
473773.8
503100.6
1023112.5
Blue285
549893.4
5567106.6
661871.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325280100200400500291285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#14
112.50.3
117.7117.5
Auto14.6
Teleop44.2
End53.7
red by 5.9
106.60.3
106.7107.0
Auto11.9
Teleop41.8
End52.9
Second
503
#2
100.60.3
105.9105.6
Auto9.1
Teleop43.8
End47.7
red by 7.2
5498
#16
93.40.3
93.593.8
Auto9.2
Teleop34.3
End49.9
Third
4737
#30
73.80.3
79.178.9
Auto7.6
Teleop35.1
End31.2
red by 2.3
6618
#31
71.60.3
71.772.0
Auto7.1
Teleop44.1
End20.4