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Red445
473773.8
503100.6
1023112.5
Blue255
468099.0
590160.5
591577.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329235100200300400500445255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#14
112.51.0
116.7117.7
Auto14.6
Teleop44.2
End53.7
red by 13.4
4680
#10
99.00.4
98.699.0
Auto10.3
Teleop46.5
End42.2
Second
503
#2
100.61.0
104.8105.9
Auto9.1
Teleop43.8
End47.7
red by 22.9
5915
#37
77.70.4
77.377.7
Auto8.4
Teleop38.7
End30.6
Third
4737
#30
73.81.0
78.179.1
Auto7.6
Teleop35.1
End31.2
red by 13.3
60.50.4
60.160.5
Auto5.7
Teleop25.8
End29.0