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Red255
481137.8
469106.7
283287.9
Blue170
317550.2
204867.0
118957.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2651740100200300400255170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
106.70.4
108.8109.2
Auto10.7
Teleop49.9
End46.0
red by 39.7
2048
#12
67.00.7
67.767.0
Auto5.1
Teleop37.0
End24.9
Second
87.90.4
90.090.4
Auto5.7
Teleop45.4
End36.8
red by 30.0
1189
#22
57.90.7
58.657.9
Auto7.2
Teleop37.2
End13.4
Third
4811
#34
37.80.4
40.240.6
Auto6.4
Teleop19.0
End12.4
blue by 12.4
3175
#16
50.20.7
50.950.2
Auto7.2
Teleop33.7
End9.3