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Red255
481137.8
469106.7
283287.9
Blue256
12360.1
610878.8
485166.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26220250100150300350400450255256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#1
106.70.3
109.2109.5
Auto10.7
Teleop49.9
End46.0
red by 27.9
78.81.2
77.278.5
Auto5.9
Teleop34.6
End38.3
Second
87.90.3
90.490.7
Auto5.7
Teleop45.4
End36.8
red by 21.9
4851
#23
66.01.2
64.465.7
Auto11.5
Teleop25.4
End29.0
Third
4811
#34
37.80.4
40.641.0
Auto6.4
Teleop19.0
End12.4
blue by 22.2
123
#8
60.11.2
58.559.7
Auto5.2
Teleop35.5
End19.4