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Red200
656640.8
81860.3
609943.7
Blue205
12360.1
610878.8
485166.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1362230100200300400200205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#6
60.31.5
58.860.3
Auto4.0
Teleop29.2
End27.1
blue by 18.5
78.80.1
77.177.2
Auto5.9
Teleop34.6
End38.3
Second
6099
#30
43.71.3
42.443.7
Auto5.6
Teleop30.9
End7.2
blue by 22.3
4851
#23
66.00.1
64.364.4
Auto11.5
Teleop25.4
End29.0
Third
6566
#28
40.81.3
39.540.8
Auto1.6
Teleop42.2
End-3.0
blue by 19.2
123
#8
60.10.1
58.458.5
Auto5.2
Teleop35.5
End19.4