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Red250
481545.9
575674.7
118875.2
Blue255
642570.7
591569.2
267339.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20518550100150250300350400250255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.21.3
73.975.2
Auto12.0
Teleop34.6
End28.6
red by 4.5
6425
#10
70.71.7
70.372.0
Auto7.5
Teleop41.7
End21.5
Second
74.71.3
73.574.7
Auto5.9
Teleop45.8
End23.0
red by 5.5
69.21.7
68.870.5
Auto7.4
Teleop32.7
End29.1
Third
4815
#15
45.91.3
44.645.9
Auto4.3
Teleop33.1
End8.5
red by 6.4
2673
#26
39.41.9
39.040.9
Auto6.3
Teleop25.2
End8.0