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Red200
481545.9
575674.7
118875.2
Blue180
309644.4
45350.4
523957.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214147050100250300350400200180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
75.20.1
74.674.7
Auto12.0
Teleop34.6
End28.6
red by 18.1
5239
#14
57.10.7
56.156.8
Auto8.7
Teleop33.4
End15.0
Second
74.70.1
74.274.3
Auto5.9
Teleop45.8
End23.0
red by 24.3
453
#11
50.40.7
49.450.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End15.7
Third
4815
#15
45.90.1
45.345.5
Auto4.3
Teleop33.1
End8.5
red by 1.4
3096
#17
44.40.7
43.444.1
Auto3.6
Teleop36.9
End3.9