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Red445
341498.5
862114.0
1023114.9
Blue264
470110.8
3618101.0
3535100.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions350343100200300400500600445264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1023
#17
114.90.5
113.1113.6
Auto12.2
Teleop50.0
End52.7
red by 4.1
470
#14
110.81.1
111.9110.8
Auto11.8
Teleop45.9
End53.1
Second
862
#2
114.00.5
112.2112.7
Auto11.4
Teleop54.6
End47.9
red by 13.0
101.01.1
102.1101.0
Auto13.6
Teleop47.0
End40.4
Third
3414
#38
98.50.5
96.797.2
Auto11.2
Teleop41.3
End46.0
blue by 1.5
3535
#28
100.01.1
101.1100.0
Auto15.3
Teleop42.9
End41.8