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Red410
118880.6
5205109.1
171898.4
Blue445
8599.9
4391116.6
2619106.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325357100200300400500600410445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.10.1
109.8109.9
Auto15.6
Teleop54.3
End39.2
blue by 7.6
116.60.6
115.2115.8
Auto15.8
Teleop53.7
End47.2
Second
1718
#23
98.40.1
99.199.2
Auto9.8
Teleop46.7
End41.9
blue by 8.3
2619
#21
106.70.6
105.3105.9
Auto15.6
Teleop48.1
End43.1
Third
1188
#39
80.60.1
81.381.4
Auto12.1
Teleop35.8
End32.7
blue by 19.3
85
#22
99.90.6
98.599.1
Auto11.6
Teleop46.3
End42.0