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Red503
469117.8
33139.4
283496.1
Blue471
2960117.2
67110.0
1684115.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4044290100200300500600700800503471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
139.40.6
138.3138.9
Auto20.3
Teleop63.1
End56.0
red by 22.3
2960
#10
117.20.6
117.1117.7
Auto11.5
Teleop52.3
End53.4
Second
469
#23
117.80.6
116.7117.3
Auto14.2
Teleop48.8
End54.8
red by 1.9
1684
#21
115.90.6
115.9116.5
Auto15.5
Teleop51.3
End49.2
Third
96.10.6
94.995.6
Auto11.6
Teleop48.0
End36.5
blue by 13.9
67
#6
110.00.6
109.9110.5
Auto15.5
Teleop52.5
End42.0