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Red474
469117.8
33139.4
283496.1
Blue420
2960117.2
67110.0
1684115.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064310100200300500600700800474420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
139.40.5
138.9139.4
Auto20.3
Teleop63.1
End56.0
red by 22.3
2960
#10
117.20.5
117.7117.2
Auto11.5
Teleop52.3
End53.4
Second
469
#23
117.80.5
117.3117.8
Auto14.2
Teleop48.8
End54.8
red by 1.9
1684
#21
115.90.5
116.5115.9
Auto15.5
Teleop51.3
End49.2
Third
96.10.5
95.696.1
Auto11.6
Teleop48.0
End36.5
blue by 13.9
67
#6
110.00.5
110.5110.0
Auto15.5
Teleop52.5
End42.0