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Quarterfinal 3-32017 Michigan State Championship - Dow Division
Red222
3542103.3
494122.6
7099.2
Blue330
24579.6
5150114.7
5436107.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396333100200300500600222330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#2
122.62.5
125.0→122.6
Auto16.3
Teleop61.0
End45.3
red by 7.9
5150
#11
114.70.1
117.8→117.7
Auto13.1
Teleop51.2
End50.4
Second
3542
#22
103.32.5
105.8→103.3
Auto12.7
Teleop43.2
End47.5
blue by 4.3
5436
#19
107.60.1
110.7→110.6
Auto13.9
Teleop50.5
End43.3
Third
70
#35
99.22.5
101.6→99.2
Auto11.6
Teleop50.0
End37.6
red by 19.5
245
#37
79.60.1
82.7→82.6
Auto9.9
Teleop39.1
End30.6