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Red454
2474111.0
5155117.6
3098105.7
Blue446
2960117.2
67110.0
1684115.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433433380400420440460480500454446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.60.3
118.7118.9
Auto13.1
Teleop54.1
End50.5
red by 0.5
2960
#10
117.20.0
118.7118.6
Auto11.5
Teleop52.3
End53.4
Second
2474
#20
111.00.3
112.0112.2
Auto13.2
Teleop48.5
End49.2
blue by 5.0
1684
#21
115.90.0
117.5117.4
Auto15.5
Teleop51.3
End49.2
Third
3098
#12
105.70.3
106.7107.0
Auto11.1
Teleop49.4
End45.2
blue by 4.3
67
#6
110.00.0
111.5111.4
Auto15.5
Teleop52.5
End42.0