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Red311
2474111.0
5155117.6
3098105.7
Blue471
2960117.2
67110.0
1684115.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions438429100200300500600700800311471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.60.6
118.9118.3
Auto13.1
Teleop54.1
End50.5
red by 0.5
2960
#10
117.20.5
118.6119.2
Auto11.5
Teleop52.3
End53.4
Second
2474
#20
111.00.6
112.2111.6
Auto13.2
Teleop48.5
End49.2
blue by 5.0
1684
#21
115.90.5
117.4118.0
Auto15.5
Teleop51.3
End49.2
Third
3098
#12
105.70.6
107.0106.4
Auto11.1
Teleop49.4
End45.2
blue by 4.3
67
#6
110.00.5
111.4112.0
Auto15.5
Teleop52.5
End42.0