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Red213
4970114.3
2137104.3
503109.2
Blue456
2767117.4
6075105.6
5114103.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402357200300500600213456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#17
114.32.8
118.5115.7
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End51.7
blue by 3.1
117.40.2
117.6117.7
Auto17.9
Teleop53.6
End45.8
Second
503
#18
109.22.8
113.4110.6
Auto13.6
Teleop51.7
End43.9
red by 3.6
105.60.2
105.8106.0
Auto14.2
Teleop49.7
End41.7
Third
2137
#11
104.32.8
108.5105.6
Auto17.1
Teleop49.9
End37.2
red by 0.6
5114
#16
103.70.2
103.8104.0
Auto10.1
Teleop48.6
End45.0