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Red497
4970114.3
2137104.3
503109.2
Blue445
2767117.4
6075105.6
5114103.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391360200300500497445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#17
114.30.9
115.7116.6
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End51.7
blue by 3.1
117.40.4
117.7118.1
Auto17.9
Teleop53.6
End45.8
Second
503
#18
109.20.9
110.6111.5
Auto13.6
Teleop51.7
End43.9
red by 3.6
105.60.4
106.0106.3
Auto14.2
Teleop49.7
End41.7
Third
2137
#11
104.30.9
105.6106.5
Auto17.1
Teleop49.9
End37.2
red by 0.6
5114
#16
103.70.4
104.0104.4
Auto10.1
Teleop48.6
End45.0