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Red445
5114103.7
6075105.6
2767117.4
Blue395
22694.7
2075110.9
6686.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3673140100200400500600700445395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.40.5
116.4116.8
Auto17.9
Teleop53.6
End45.8
red by 6.5
2075
#10
110.90.1
110.8110.9
Auto11.5
Teleop51.1
End48.3
Second
105.60.5
104.6105.0
Auto14.2
Teleop49.7
End41.7
red by 10.8
226
#26
94.70.1
94.794.7
Auto14.2
Teleop43.4
End37.2
Third
5114
#16
103.70.5
102.6103.1
Auto10.1
Teleop48.6
End45.0
red by 17.3
66
#22
86.40.1
86.386.4
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End25.9