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Red255
5114103.7
6075105.6
2767117.4
Blue466
22694.7
2075110.9
6686.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3743060100200500600255466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.41.6
118.0116.4
Auto17.9
Teleop53.6
End45.8
red by 6.5
2075
#10
110.91.8
109.0110.8
Auto11.5
Teleop51.1
End48.3
Second
105.61.6
106.2104.6
Auto14.2
Teleop49.7
End41.7
red by 10.8
226
#26
94.71.8
92.994.7
Auto14.2
Teleop43.4
End37.2
Third
5114
#16
103.71.6
104.3102.6
Auto10.1
Teleop48.6
End45.0
red by 17.3
66
#22
86.41.8
84.586.3
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End25.9