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Red273
5114103.7
6075105.6
2767117.4
Blue252
22694.7
2075110.9
6686.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379311100200500600273252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.41.4
119.4118.0
Auto17.9
Teleop53.6
End45.8
red by 6.5
2075
#10
110.91.4
110.4109.0
Auto11.5
Teleop51.1
End48.3
Second
105.61.4
107.6106.2
Auto14.2
Teleop49.7
End41.7
red by 10.8
226
#26
94.71.4
94.392.9
Auto14.2
Teleop43.4
End37.2
Third
5114
#16
103.71.4
105.7104.3
Auto10.1
Teleop48.6
End45.0
red by 17.3
66
#22
86.41.4
86.084.5
Auto13.4
Teleop47.0
End25.9