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Red507
5114103.7
6075105.6
2767117.4
Blue329
3357110.9
74119.2
1481102.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3524010100200300500600700507329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.41.4
116.1117.6
Auto17.9
Teleop53.6
End45.8
blue by 1.8
74
#9
119.20.1
119.3119.2
Auto12.1
Teleop51.6
End55.5
Second
105.61.4
104.3105.8
Auto14.2
Teleop49.7
End41.7
blue by 5.4
3357
#23
110.90.1
111.0110.9
Auto19.7
Teleop48.2
End43.0
Third
5114
#16
103.71.4
102.4103.8
Auto10.1
Teleop48.6
End45.0
red by 1.4
1481
#28
102.30.1
102.3102.3
Auto14.5
Teleop48.5
End39.3