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Red271
90455.7
132288.1
894102.8
Blue215
439189.3
24595.3
656951.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253248150200300350400271215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#4
102.80.7
100.7101.4
Auto12.4
Teleop44.5
End45.9
red by 7.5
245
#2
95.30.5
95.494.9
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End44.2
Second
88.10.7
85.986.6
Auto8.9
Teleop36.6
End42.6
blue by 1.2
89.30.5
89.388.8
Auto11.1
Teleop44.1
End34.1
Third
904
#29
55.70.8
53.354.0
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End28.0
red by 4.0
6569
#21
51.70.5
51.751.2
Auto6.4
Teleop23.1
End22.2