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Red235
655871.3
497090.6
360273.2
Blue285
258666.5
507279.3
376779.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252226100200300400500235285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.60.0
90.690.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.1
End45.6
red by 11.3
3767
#20
79.32.0
76.578.5
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End36.6
Second
73.20.0
73.273.2
Auto4.4
Teleop35.6
End33.2
blue by 6.1
79.31.5
77.278.7
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End26.0
Third
6558
#16
71.30.0
71.371.3
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End31.0
red by 4.8
2586
#12
66.51.7
64.165.8
Auto8.1
Teleop31.9
End26.5