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Red285
655871.3
497090.6
360273.2
Blue215
258666.5
507279.3
376779.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247227100150200300350400450285215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.61.2
89.590.6
Auto11.8
Teleop33.1
End45.6
red by 11.3
3767
#20
79.30.1
76.676.5
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End36.6
Second
73.21.2
72.173.2
Auto4.4
Teleop35.6
End33.2
blue by 6.1
79.30.1
77.377.2
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End26.0
Third
6558
#16
71.31.2
70.171.3
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End31.0
red by 4.8
2586
#12
66.50.1
64.264.1
Auto8.1
Teleop31.9
End26.5