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Red195
570250.0
497090.6
360273.2
Blue205
258666.5
507279.3
376779.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2232320100300400500195205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.60.4
89.889.5
Auto11.8
Teleop33.1
End45.6
red by 11.3
3767
#20
79.30.4
77.076.6
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End36.6
Second
73.20.4
72.472.1
Auto4.4
Teleop35.6
End33.2
blue by 6.1
79.30.3
77.677.3
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End26.0
Third
5702
#17
50.00.4
50.450.0
Auto7.0
Teleop31.7
End11.3
blue by 16.5
2586
#12
66.50.3
64.664.2
Auto8.1
Teleop31.9
End26.5