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Red235
656951.7
24595.3
439189.3
Blue196
663773.8
608846.9
611337.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267146050100200300350400235196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
95.30.0
95.495.4
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End44.2
red by 21.6
6637
#15
73.81.0
72.873.8
Auto8.3
Teleop29.0
End36.5
Second
89.30.0
89.489.3
Auto11.1
Teleop44.1
End34.1
red by 42.4
6088
#13
46.91.1
45.746.9
Auto3.8
Teleop25.8
End17.2
Third
6569
#21
51.70.0
51.851.7
Auto6.4
Teleop23.1
End22.2
red by 14.1
6113
#23
37.61.0
36.637.6
Auto5.4
Teleop24.6
End7.6