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Quarterfinal 2-22017 FIM District - Escanaba Event
Red107
554763.3
607582.5
85751.1
Blue235
159676.6
439257.9
498838.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121700100300400107235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6075
#5
82.52.0
82.0→80.0
Auto11.2
Teleop31.2
End40.1
red by 5.8
1596
#11
76.61.7
74.6→76.3
Auto8.8
Teleop36.4
End31.4
Second
5547
#24
63.32.0
62.9→60.9
Auto5.3
Teleop31.6
End26.4
red by 5.4
4392
#7
57.91.7
55.9→57.6
Auto4.0
Teleop39.3
End14.6
Third
857
#10
51.12.0
50.7→48.7
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End6.0
red by 12.5
4988
#37
38.61.5
36.8→38.3
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End11.6