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Red257
656951.7
24595.3
439189.3
Blue255
258666.5
507279.3
376779.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252232100200300400500257255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#2
95.30.5
95.495.8
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End44.2
red by 16.0
3767
#20
79.30.9
78.579.4
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End36.6
Second
89.30.5
89.389.8
Auto11.1
Teleop44.1
End34.1
red by 10.0
79.30.7
78.779.4
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End26.0
Third
6569
#21
51.70.5
51.752.2
Auto6.4
Teleop23.1
End22.2
blue by 14.8
2586
#12
66.50.8
65.866.6
Auto8.1
Teleop31.9
End26.5