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Red237
554763.3
607582.5
85751.1
Blue185
159676.6
439257.9
498838.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2091690100300400500237185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.51.0
81.082.0
Auto11.2
Teleop31.2
End40.1
red by 5.8
1596
#11
76.60.5
74.274.6
Auto8.8
Teleop36.4
End31.4
Second
5547
#24
63.31.0
61.962.9
Auto5.3
Teleop31.6
End26.4
red by 5.4
57.90.5
55.555.9
Auto4.0
Teleop39.3
End14.6
Third
857
#10
51.11.0
49.750.7
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End6.0
red by 12.5
4988
#37
38.60.4
36.436.8
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End11.6