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Red260
90455.7
132288.1
894102.8
Blue217
85751.1
607582.5
554763.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2601970100300400500260217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#4
102.80.5
100.2100.7
Auto12.4
Teleop44.5
End45.9
red by 20.4
82.50.5
82.082.5
Auto11.2
Teleop31.2
End40.1
Second
88.10.5
85.485.9
Auto8.9
Teleop36.6
End42.6
red by 24.7
5547
#24
63.30.5
62.963.3
Auto5.3
Teleop31.6
End26.4
Third
904
#29
55.70.5
52.753.3
Auto9.6
Teleop18.1
End28.0
red by 4.5
857
#10
51.10.5
50.751.1
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End6.0