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Red105
439189.3
483537.1
498838.6
Blue255
507279.3
655871.3
258666.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15817250100200250105255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.35.3
72.367.0
Auto11.1
Teleop44.1
End34.1
red by 10.0
5072
#9DQ
79.310.4
49.559.9
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End26.0
Second
4988
#37
38.65.3
42.837.6
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End11.6
blue by 32.7
6558
#16
71.310.4
49.860.2
Auto7.0
Teleop33.3
End31.0
Third
4835
#33
37.15.3
37.332.0
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End11.9
blue by 29.4
2586
#12
66.510.4
62.272.6
Auto8.1
Teleop31.9
End26.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed