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Red165
85751.1
608846.9
554763.3
Blue115
634543.1
521349.2
376779.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132155050100200250300350165115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#24
63.31.2
47.448.6
Auto5.3
Teleop31.6
End26.4
blue by 16.0
3767
#20
79.33.3
75.772.5
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End36.6
Second
857
#10
51.11.2
51.752.9
Auto10.5
Teleop34.6
End6.0
red by 2.0
5213
#18
49.23.3
35.932.6
Auto6.6
Teleop29.3
End13.2
Third
6088
#13
46.91.2
29.831.1
Auto3.8
Teleop25.8
End17.2
red by 3.8
6345
#34
43.13.3
32.829.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.6
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed