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Red140
611223.4
663773.8
570633.2
Blue165
611337.6
521349.2
439189.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071910300400500140165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6637
#15
73.82.6
58.561.0
Auto8.3
Teleop29.0
End36.5
blue by 15.5
89.30.4
86.686.1
Auto11.1
Teleop44.1
End34.1
Second
5706
#35
33.22.6
34.637.2
Auto1.4
Teleop25.1
End6.7
blue by 15.9
5213
#18
49.20.4
53.653.2
Auto6.6
Teleop29.3
End13.2
Third
6112
#39
23.42.4
20.322.6
Auto1.5
Teleop24.2
End-2.4
blue by 14.2
6113
#23
37.60.4
29.529.0
Auto5.4
Teleop24.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed