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Red165
517550.2
507279.3
483537.1
Blue220
548651.0
570250.0
498838.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185980300400165220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.32.1
78.776.6
Auto9.6
Teleop43.8
End26.0
red by 28.4
5486
#25
51.09.3
43.653.0
Auto1.0
Teleop26.9
End23.1
Second
5175
#19
50.22.1
49.547.4
Auto4.4
Teleop29.8
End16.0
red by 0.1
5702
#17
50.08.0
39.047.0
Auto7.0
Teleop31.7
End11.3
Third
4835
#33
37.12.1
35.733.6
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End11.9
blue by 1.5
4988
#37
38.68.0
22.630.6
Auto3.3
Teleop23.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed