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Red305
550556.7
3538129.0
102598.9
Blue255
518379.7
51103.6
608665.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304255100200400500305255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.00.5
128.0128.5
Auto15.0
Teleop51.9
End62.1
red by 25.4
51
#8
103.60.2
103.3103.5
Auto11.4
Teleop37.2
End55.0
Second
98.90.5
97.998.4
Auto15.0
Teleop42.2
End41.7
red by 19.2
5183
#10
79.70.2
79.479.5
Auto8.6
Teleop42.3
End28.9
Third
5505
#29
56.70.5
55.756.2
Auto5.0
Teleop43.2
End8.5
blue by 9.1
6086
#28
65.80.2
65.565.6
Auto7.0
Teleop38.9
End19.9