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Red235
437664.1
498376.6
556082.0
Blue255
518379.7
51103.6
608665.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230255100150200300350400450235255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5560
#11
82.00.3
81.782.0
Auto7.6
Teleop30.7
End43.7
blue by 21.7
51
#8
103.60.4
99.8100.2
Auto11.4
Teleop37.2
End55.0
Second
76.60.3
76.376.6
Auto8.6
Teleop35.1
End33.0
blue by 3.1
5183
#10
79.70.4
76.276.6
Auto8.6
Teleop42.3
End28.9
Third
4376
#21
64.10.3
63.864.1
Auto8.8
Teleop30.8
End24.4
blue by 1.7
6086
#28
65.80.4
62.362.7
Auto7.0
Teleop38.9
End19.9