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Red242
606675.3
353596.4
361884.0
Blue255
171197.8
9487.4
608775.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258269150200300350400450242255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.40.1
93.293.1
Auto16.8
Teleop42.3
End37.2
blue by 1.4
1711
#18
97.80.0
95.695.6
Auto13.2
Teleop35.6
End49.0
Second
3618
#16
84.00.1
80.980.8
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
blue by 3.3
94
#7
87.40.0
85.185.2
Auto10.6
Teleop35.4
End41.4
Third
6066
#26
75.30.1
72.272.1
Auto10.9
Teleop40.1
End24.3
blue by 0.2
6087
#13
75.50.0
73.373.3
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End35.4