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Red260
550556.7
3538129.0
102598.9
Blue219
361884.0
353596.4
606675.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304267100200400500260219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.00.6
128.6128.0
Auto15.0
Teleop51.9
End62.1
red by 32.7
96.40.9
97.296.4
Auto16.8
Teleop42.3
End37.2
Second
98.90.6
98.597.9
Auto15.0
Teleop42.2
End41.7
red by 14.8
3618
#16
84.00.9
84.984.0
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
Third
5505
#29
56.70.6
56.355.7
Auto5.0
Teleop43.2
End8.5
blue by 18.6
6066
#26
75.30.9
76.275.3
Auto10.9
Teleop40.1
End24.3