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Red255
550556.7
3538129.0
102598.9
Blue315
361884.0
353596.4
606675.3
68%Model gave it32%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308262100200400500255315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.00.7
129.3128.6
Auto15.0
Teleop51.9
End62.1
red by 32.7
96.41.2
96.097.2
Auto16.8
Teleop42.3
End37.2
Second
98.90.7
99.298.5
Auto15.0
Teleop42.2
End41.7
red by 14.8
3618
#16
84.01.2
83.784.9
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
Third
5505
#29
56.70.7
57.056.3
Auto5.0
Teleop43.2
End8.5
blue by 18.6
6066
#26
75.31.2
75.076.2
Auto10.9
Teleop40.1
End24.3