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Red395
550556.7
3538129.0
102598.9
Blue255
523078.7
612186.5
570867.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316231100200400500600395255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.00.2
130.1130.3
Auto15.0
Teleop51.9
End62.1
red by 42.5
6121
#12
86.50.5
86.086.5
Auto10.9
Teleop37.2
End38.4
Second
98.90.2
100.0100.1
Auto15.0
Teleop42.2
End41.7
red by 20.1
5230
#14
78.70.6
78.178.7
Auto5.6
Teleop35.5
End37.7
Third
5505
#29
56.70.2
57.858.0
Auto5.0
Teleop43.2
End8.5
blue by 10.5
5708
#20
67.20.5
66.667.2
Auto8.6
Teleop32.8
End25.8