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Red370
550556.7
3538129.0
102598.9
Blue262
361884.0
353596.4
606675.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312261100200400500370262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.01.0
130.3129.3
Auto15.0
Teleop51.9
End62.1
red by 32.7
96.40.2
95.896.0
Auto16.8
Teleop42.3
End37.2
Second
98.91.0
100.199.2
Auto15.0
Teleop42.2
End41.7
red by 14.8
3618
#16
84.00.2
83.583.7
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
Third
5505
#29
56.71.0
58.057.0
Auto5.0
Teleop43.2
End8.5
blue by 18.6
6066
#26
75.30.2
74.875.0
Auto10.9
Teleop40.1
End24.3