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Red314
606675.3
353596.4
361884.0
Blue310
171197.8
9487.4
608775.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258269150200300350400314310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.41.5
93.194.6
Auto16.8
Teleop42.3
End37.2
blue by 1.4
1711
#18
97.81.1
95.696.7
Auto13.2
Teleop35.6
End49.0
Second
3618
#16
84.01.5
80.882.3
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
blue by 3.3
94
#7
87.41.1
85.286.3
Auto10.6
Teleop35.4
End41.4
Third
6066
#26
75.31.5
72.173.6
Auto10.9
Teleop40.1
End24.3
blue by 0.2
6087
#13
75.51.1
73.374.4
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End35.4