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Red258
607766.3
207589.6
675398.8
Blue305
518379.7
51103.6
608665.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2702550100200300400500600258305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.80.1
98.798.8
Auto8.8
Teleop36.2
End53.8
blue by 4.8
51
#8
103.61.5
101.8103.3
Auto11.4
Teleop37.2
End55.0
Second
89.60.1
89.589.6
Auto7.5
Teleop29.9
End52.2
red by 9.9
5183
#10
79.71.4
78.079.4
Auto8.6
Teleop42.3
End28.9
Third
6077
#32
66.30.1
66.266.3
Auto5.7
Teleop36.0
End24.5
red by 0.5
6086
#28
65.81.4
64.165.5
Auto7.0
Teleop38.9
End19.9