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Red310
606675.3
353596.4
361884.0
Blue305
171197.8
9487.4
608775.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263273150200300350400450310305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.41.2
94.695.8
Auto16.8
Teleop42.3
End37.2
blue by 1.4
1711
#18
97.81.1
96.797.8
Auto13.2
Teleop35.6
End49.0
Second
3618
#16
84.01.2
82.383.5
Auto12.5
Teleop38.9
End32.7
blue by 3.3
94
#7
87.41.1
86.387.4
Auto10.6
Teleop35.4
End41.4
Third
6066
#26
75.31.2
73.674.8
Auto10.9
Teleop40.1
End24.3
blue by 0.2
6087
#13
75.51.1
74.475.5
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End35.4