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Red175
224640.6
608665.8
439860.2
Blue245
664232.4
675398.8
553482.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16314104006008001,0001,2001,400175245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6086
#28
65.81.5
57.058.5
Auto7.0
Teleop38.9
End19.9
blue by 33.0
98.812.0
46.158.1
Auto8.8
Teleop36.2
End53.8
Second
4398
#30
60.22.5
57.259.7
Auto6.0
Teleop37.6
End16.6
blue by 22.3
5534
#19
82.512.0
51.963.9
Auto7.7
Teleop38.3
End36.5
Third
2246
#24DQ
40.62.5
37.940.5
Auto9.4
Teleop26.8
End4.3
red by 8.2
6642
#39
32.412.0
39.151.1
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed